“There are 60 informal ballot papers from a total of 21378 ballot papers counted from the District”
This is a vital piece of information from LOOP PNG news article regarding Goilala District NGE2017.
From this information, we can work out how many ballot papers are ALIVE.
We will also work out what is the ABSOLUTE MAJORITY.
We will also work out what is the WINNING figure which will be ABSOLUTE MAJORITY figure + 1.
Now The MATH.
TOTAL BALLOT PAPERS COUNT MINUS TOTAL INFORMAL EQUALS TOTAL ALIVE BALLOT PAPERS.
21 516 [Total Ballot papers used] – 60 [Informal] = 21456[Total alive].
ABSOLUTE MAJORITY IS DERIVE BY DIVIDING TOTAL ALIVE BALLOT PAPERS BY 2.
21456/2 = 10, 728.
ABSOLUTE MAJORITY PLUS ONE is the Winning NUMBER.
10, 728 + 1 = 10, 729.
The Magic Number, as it stands now, is 10, 729. And after the completion of FIRST PREFERENCE counts, no candidate has collected that figure hence ELIMINATION PROCESS is needed to find the ABSOLUTE MAJORITY figure.
Note that as elimination process kicks in, the ABSOLUTE MAJORITY figure will decrease. As that is happening votes totals for candidates will increase, which as elimination go on, these two numbers – leading candidate total votes which is increasing and absolute majority figure which is decreasing is expected to meet somewhere.
Once and when these two Numbers meets, a Declaration will be made.
I am waiting to get the Count 35 FULL LIST for 30 Candidates, and their placings on the Rankings Table.
Once I get that, I will then do a REVIEW of the FIRST PREFERENCE Votes and also points out how the 2s and 3s will move and hopefully using that information, point out who the new MP for Goilala would be. [in my opinion].