PANGU MAN RETAINS GOILALA SEAT – NGE2017


22gb_samb_declared
After the 28th exclusion, William Samb is the member for Goilala Open.

Box 11 – Mathew Poia was the decider for the race between Samb and Alex Hoem Robert.

Despite Robert collecting a good 1,105, Samb climbed 89 votes higher to 6,576.

The absolute majority was 5,664.

Samb was declared the legitimate member at 4:30pm this afternoon by RO Theodore Maia at the counting venue, Gordon Police gymnasium.

Runner up Robert was 4,752.

This will be Samb’s first full 5-year term.

He won the by-election after the passing of Daniel Mona in 2014.

He was member-elect for 18 months.

Samb was escorted to the venue this afternoon by his wife and two children.

Addressing the counting officials, security and media personnel on ground, Samb thanked everyone for the support and cooperation and the trust in him.

He asked for the cooperation of all other 29 candidates to bring service into the district.
18341724_10155257765423895_7777044126482659638_n

Samb hopes to continue the projects he undertook while in office.

Source: Samb Retains Goilala Seat

POWER OF LPV SYSTEMS LAYS IN 2s & 3s – GOILALA OPEN – NGE2017.


National General Election 2017 in Papua New Guinea, using the Limited Preferential Voting system has given PNG people 3 choices to elect their Parliamentary leader who will represent them in the House Of Parliament for the next 5 years.

To do what? Goilala people will find out after 5 years starting 2018.

For now, let’s look at Goilala Open and how the 21, 516 eligible voters has casted their votes amongst the 30 candidates that contested these NGE2017.

After completion of FIRST PREFERENCE VOTES, [First Choice], this is how the ladder looks.
FinalCount35NGE2017GoiOpenSitting MP and Pangu Party candidate William Samb sits at No 1 with a commanding 5,097 votes following by National Alliance Alex Hoem Robert on 2287, and People National Congress candidate Bruce Mamando on 2206, Gabriel Mavai, an Indepedent on 1999, and former Member of Parliament Mathew Poia on 1946.

Quality Check is currently underway, and Elimination process will kick in to enable the Officials to reach the Absolute Majority figure of 10, 758 + 1 to declare the new MP Elect for Goilala Open.

My article here will digest how the elimination process will help move the numbers from the eliminated candidates and distribute them amongst the Top 6 candidates whose current votes are in the 4-digit totals.
EliminationNGE2017GoiOpen
I have catogorised the Rankings into Zero, Double Digit, 3 Digit and 4-Digit groups.

Gilbert Goi did not get any votes [ZERO Category] and so he goes without giving anyone anything.

Out of the Double Digit category which has a total of 321 votes to share, Camilo Esef, Theophilo, Augustine Mark, Tapini Libe, Philip Maip, Tosip will give most of their 2s and 3s to William, Bruce, Gabriel Mavai. Matilda. Aelai and Kiar would have their 2s and 3s shared between Alex, Mona and Poia where as Oresi will have his 2s and 3s shared between Nomai, William and Gabriel Mavai.

After this Double Digit group gets eliminated, expect Poia, Alex, Nomai, John Mona, Bruce and William Samb to have changes made to their Total figures. I see Alex and William collecting heavily from these group.

The 3-digit group has 5,995 votes amongs them to distribute and this figure is big enough to make changes to the Rankings if dominated by one candidate.

As it is, this 5,996 votes wont be distributed to just one candidate. These 5,995 votes will go all angles.

Kaita, Didei, Kopa, Ellison and Kita will make changes to Nomai’s total figure, while Ita, Henry Ivoro and Koma, will push Bruce, Mona, William and  Alex further up.

Jawai, Goilala Aloysis, Heni and Gitai will have most of their 2s and 3s shared between Poia and Alex Hoem. Bruce did collect well in Guari so he stands to collect from these candidates as well.

After the removal of Double and 3-Digit groups, the 4-Digit group will be rearranged. This is how i see the Top 6 after everyone is eliminated.

1. WILLIAM SAMB
2. BRUCE MAMANDO
3. ALEX HOEM
4. MATHEW POIA
5. GABRIEL MAVAI
6. PETER NOMAI
7. JOHN MONA

John Mona will squeeze his way into the 4-Digit group, while Bruce will swap second place with Alex who will get to the 3rd spot. Poia will also sneek into the 4th place, pushing Mavai down to 5th spot. Nomai sticks to 6th place and Mona will settle in the 7th place.

BUSINESS END OF THE GAME.
The margin between No.1 and No.2 will still be in Thousand+ votes. No.1 will increase his total votes. Difference between No.2, No.3, No.4 will be very close.

VERDICT
By the time we are left with 7 candidates, the Absolute Majority figure would have come down to 8,000 votes.

In my opinion John Mona holds the key to unlocking the “WHO IS THE NEW MP FOR GOILALA” mystery.

May The People’s Choice Win this tense Battle.

ABSOLUTE MAJORITY FIGURE IS – 10, 758


There are 60 informal ballot papers from a total of 21378 ballot papers counted from the District”

-LOOPPNG-

This is a vital piece of information from LOOP PNG news article regarding Goilala District NGE2017.

From this information, we can work out how many ballot papers are ALIVE.

We will also work out what is the ABSOLUTE MAJORITY.

We will also work out what is the WINNING figure which will be ABSOLUTE MAJORITY figure + 1.

Now The MATH.

TOTAL BALLOT PAPERS COUNT MINUS TOTAL INFORMAL EQUALS TOTAL ALIVE BALLOT PAPERS.

21 516 [Total Ballot papers used] – 60 [Informal] = 21456[Total alive].

ABSOLUTE MAJORITY IS DERIVE BY DIVIDING TOTAL ALIVE BALLOT PAPERS BY 2.

21456/2 = 10, 728.

ABSOLUTE MAJORITY PLUS ONE is the Winning NUMBER.

10, 728 + 1 = 10, 729.

The Magic Number, as it stands now, is 10, 729. And after the completion of FIRST PREFERENCE counts, no candidate has collected that figure hence ELIMINATION PROCESS is needed to find the ABSOLUTE MAJORITY figure.

Note that as elimination process kicks in, the ABSOLUTE MAJORITY figure will decrease. As that is happening votes totals for candidates will increase, which as elimination go on, these two numbers – leading candidate total votes which is increasing and absolute majority figure which is decreasing is expected to meet somewhere.

Once and when these two Numbers meets, a Declaration will be made.

*************
I am waiting to get the Count 35 FULL LIST for 30 Candidates, and their placings on the Rankings Table.

Once I get that, I will then do a REVIEW of the FIRST PREFERENCE Votes and also points out how the 2s and 3s will move and hopefully using that information, point out who the new MP for Goilala would be. [in my opinion].
*************

TROPIC AIR FLIES GOILALA BALLOT BOXES INTO PORT MORESBY – TODAY.


BREAKING: GOILALA OPEN BALLOT BOXES GETS FLOWN INTO PORT MORESBY TODAY.
Ballot Boxes - Flies to Pom

Confirmation from Woitape using the VSAT phone and Tapini [photo credit to Father Casmiro Kito – local priest from Tapini’s Catholic Church] and via social media posting has it that Goilala Open ballot boxes which were flown into Tapini station from the 3 LLGs after polling today is been flown into Port Moresby using one of the airlines operating out of Port Moresby.

Counting is confirmed to be held at Gordons Police barracks.

MATILDA KOMA – GENUINELY HONEST & SIMPLE – NGE2017.


Koma
Unlike her 32 flamboyant male contestants for the Goilala Open seat in the NGE2017, Matilda Koma​ is simple, people oriented, and honest in her campaign.

She walks the tracks. She mixes and mingles with the people. Not so much with a lot of fanfare but just on a down to earth level.
MatildaKoma

On the opposite side of the scale, the male egocentric proud and chest beating male contestants are seen spreading money and goods like pimps and gangstas living the limelight and proclaiming number bases in the hope to outsmart and outscore the others.

A mother is the backbone of a family. She knows what needs to be done and who need attention more than the others. A mother is the one that wakes up in the middle of the night to ensure an infant cleaned, nappies are changed, is fed and nursed and laid back to sleep.

A mother is a sole person who designs the destiny of a child from the very beginning of that child’s life.

A man is an overpowering, insensitive, ego oriented, pride filled creature that does not care one single bit about how his action hurts the people around him.

I woman is SENSITIVE & she UNDERSTANDS LIFE.

My appeal to the Goilala women, from all 3 LLGs, Matilda Koma, is not rich, financially, hence she can not fly choppers, nor hire airplanes and put bums on hired 10seaters to and from Tapini in her campaign, but she is a WOMAN.

She is one of you. She is one of us. Make your importance felt in the Ballot box for Matilda Koma, the only female candidate in the race for Member for Goilala seat in this NGE2017.

My admiration goes out to TEAM KOMA. All the Best. You getting my Vote. [one of my votes]

Source: Snip from Matilda Koma’s FB Wall.

WOITAPE LLG POLLING SCHEDULE – NGE2017


This is the tentative polling dates for Tapini Local Level Government.
Source: Teresa Benedict posted on Goilala District Discussion Forum FB group.

WOITAPE LLG
DATES TEAM WARD NAME VILLAGE
Sat 24 Jun  Aikora 51 1 CHIRIME Aikora, Gerui, Soi, Asisi
Mon 26 Jun  Evesa 51 1 CHIRIME Evesa, Gina, Kikori
Sat 24 Jun 51 2 CHIRIME VALLEY Kafano Kafano Community School
Mon 26 Jun 51 2 CHIRIME VALLEY Yongai Yongai, School, Health Center
Tue 27 Jun 51 2 CHIRIME VALLEY  Yoribai Yoribai, Kamunga
Sat 24 Jun 52 3 DILAVA  Kodige Kodige Village, Kodige School
Mon 26 Jun 52 3 DILAVA Karame Karame, Ilide
Tue 27 Jun 52 3 DILAVA   Jaloge Jaloge
Sat 24 Jun 53 3 DILAVA Aveve Aveve
Mon 26 Jun 53 3 DILAVA  Baula Baula
Tue 27 Jun 53 3 DILAVA  Avola Avola
Wed 28 Jun 53 3 DILAVA Babara Babara
Sat 24 Jun 54 4 FANE Popole Popole, Mafulu, Alolo, Manaugoda
Mon 26 Jun 54 4 FANE Belavista Belavista, Yoba
Tue 27 Jun 54 4 FANE Gaiva Gaiva
Wed 28 Jun 54 4 FANE Fane  Fane , Fane Mission, Fane Village
Thu 29 Jun 54 4 FANE Iumu Iumu, Tula & Iula, Mondo, Hidave
Sat 24 Jun 55 5 AUGA Ario Ario
Mon 26 Jun 55 5 AUGA Kaiape Kailape, Pitoko
Tue 27 Jun 55 5 AUGA  Iguai Iguai, Poromania
Wed 28 Jun 55 5 AUGA  Lavavai Lavavai
Thu 29 Jun 55 5 AUGA Kone Kone, Favane
Fri 30 Jun 55 5 AUGA Garime Garime, Garime School
Sat 01 Jul 55 5 AUGA Karamerit Karamerit, Yeme, Sindo, Kiri
Sat 24 Jun 56 4 FANE Torokuma Urban Torokuma Urban, Yaulo, Vangau, Hameng
Mon 26 Jun 56 4 FANE   Torokuma Urban Torokuma Urban, Yaulo, Vangau, Hameng
Tue 27 Jun 56 4 FANE Torokuma Urban Torokuma Urban, Yaulo, Vangau, Hameng
Wed 28 Jun 56 4 FANE  Torokuma Urban Torokuma Urban, Yaulo, Vangau, Hameng
Thu 29 Jun 56 4 FANE Torokuma Urban Torokuma Urban, Yaulo, Vangau, Hameng
Fri 30 Jun 56 4 FANE  Torokuma Urban Torokuma Urban, Yaulo, Vangau, Hameng
Sat 01 Jul 56 4 FANE Torokuma Urban Torokuma Urban, Yaulo, Vangau, Hameng
Mon 03 Jul 56 4 FANE New Gutsiva New Gutsiva, Udukum
Sat 24 Jun 57 6 WOITAPE Tokio Tokio
Mon 26 Jun 57 6 WOITAPE Tanipai Tanipai, Tanipai School
Wed 28 Jun 57 6 WOITAPE Kosipe Kosipe, Kosipe School, Kopukoro, Mission
Fri 30 Jun 57 6 WOITAPE Yeme Yeme
Mon 03 Jul 57 6 WOITAPE Hiri Moale Hiri Moale, Idiba, Singe
Sat 24 Jun 58 6 WOITAPE Uruna Uruna, Buldo, Ambabu, Masika
Tue 27 Jun 58 6 WOITAPE Elo’o Elo’o, Samarai, Asuna, Wofa, Varisoro
Fri 30 Jun 58 6 WOITAPE Omboli Omboli
Mon 03 Jul 58 6 WOITAPE Tsivilo Tsivilo
Sat 24 Jun 59 7 ONOGE Tafade Tafade
Mon 26 Jun 59 7 ONOGE Siguf Siguf
Wed 28 Jun 59 7 ONOGE Oro Oro
Fri 30 Jun 59 7 ONOGE Visi Visi, Kase, Ginala, Evesi
Sat 01 Jul 59 7 ONOGE Ononge, Ononge School, Mission , Ononge No.1
Mon 03 Jul 59 7 ONOGE Miku, Kakod, Mavo, Mandad
Tue 04 Jul 61 8 ADUA Miku, Kakod, Mavo, Mandad
Sat 24 Jun 61 8 ADUA Iritumu, Enede
Wed 28 Jun 61 8 ADUA Aduai, Ta’a, Omale
Mon 03 Jul 61 8 ADUA Kurama, Kurama School
Sat 24 Jun 61 8 ADUA Seserenda, Bobo’s, Oyarenda
Wed 28 Jun 61 8 ADUA Shumbi, Kailape, Savo
Mon 03 Jul 61 8 ADUA Kambise, Siria, Eve’enda, Tariago (Hamlets)
Tue 04 Jul 61 8 ADUA Kambise, Siria, Eve’enda, Tariago (Hamlets)
Sat 24 Jun 62 9 WOITAPE STATION Fatima Community School, Mission
Mon 26 Jun 62 9 WOITAPE STATION Woitape Vocational Centre, Woitape
Tue 27 Jun 62 9 WOITAPE STATION Woitape Vocational Centre, Woitape
Sat 01 Jul 63 7 ONOGE Standby Mobile Team/Standby Team for Emergency Call out

TAPINI LLG POLLING SCHEDULES – NGE2017


This is the tentative polling dates for Tapini Local Level Government.
Source: Teresa Benedict posted on Goilala District Discussion Forum FB group.

TAPINI LLG
DATES TEAM WARD NAME VILLAGE
Sat 24 Jun 36 1 IVANE Minaru Minaru, Dioro
Mon 26 Jun 36 1 IVANE Minaru Lotuava
Wed 28 Jun 36 1 IVANE  Ilaiape Ilaiape
Sat 24 Jun 37 1 IVANE Garipa Garipa, Nionopo, Oro
Mon 26 Jun 37 1 IVANE Koruava Koruava, Maitu, Lavavai, Watogoipa
Sat 24 Jun 38 2 CENTRAL IVANE  Laitate Laitate No. 1, Laitate No. 2
Mon 26 Jun 38 2 CENTRAL IVANE Laitate Laitate No. 1, Laitate No. 2
Tue 27 Jun 38 2 CENTRAL IVANE Maini Maini, Ita
Fri 30 Jun 38 2 CENTRAL IVANE Aporoto Aporoto, Amugaiava
Sat 01 Jul 38 2 CENTRAL IVANE Aporoto Kutumuone, Sene
Mon 03 Jul 38 2 CENTRAL IVANE Aporoto Aporoto, Amugaiava
Tue 04 Jul 38 2 CENTRAL IVANE Aporoto Kutumuone, Sene
Sat 24 Jun 39 3 SOPU  Iiai Iiai, Kiorivi
Mon 26 Jun 39 3 SOPU  Iiai Iiai, Kiorivi
Tue 27 Jun 39 3 SOPU Gane Gane
Wed 28 Jun 39 3 SOPU Kileipi Kileipi
Sat 24 Jun 40 3 SOPU Lamanaip Lamanaip
Mon 26 Jun 40 3 SOPU  Lole No. 1 Lole No. 1
Tue 27 Jun 40 3 SOPU Lole No. 2 Lole No. 2
Wed 28 Jun 40 3 SOPU Sopu Sopu No. 1 & 2, Iveiava
Thu 29 Jun 40 3 SOPU Sopu Sopu No. 1 & 2, Iveiava
Sat 24 Jun 41 4 KERAU Elava Elava
Mon 26 Jun 41 4 KERAU  Iluavai Iluavai
Thu 29 Jun 41 4 KERAU Ponialava Ponialava, Omoritu, Kopurilavava
Sat 24 Jun 42 4 KERAU Lumioto Lumioto
Mon 26 Jun 42 4 KERAU  Kerau Kerau, Kunimi 1 & 2
Tue 27 Jun 42 4 KERAU Ororogaivara Ororogaivara
Wed 28 Jun 42 4 KERAU Oropo Oropo
Sat 24 Jun 43 5 KATAIPA  Kataipa Kataipa, Kame
Mon 26 Jun 43 5 KATAIPA Tawuni Tawuni
Tue 27 Jun 43 5 KATAIPA Lavavai Lavavai
Wed 28 Jun 43 5 KATAIPA Kovetapa Kovetapa
Thu 29 Jun 43 5 KATAIPA Matsialava Matsialava, Kariaristsi
Fri 30 Jun 43 5 KATAIPA Tutupita Tutupita, Potoro, Lamina, Kupav
Sat 24 Jun 44 6 JOVA Pomutu Pomutu, Buruai
Mon 26 Jun 44 6 JOVA Koiloa Koiloa, Perumeva
Tue 27 Jun 44 6 JOVA Erume Erume
Wed 28 Jun 44 6 JOVA Nairelavava Nairelavava
Thu 29 Jun 44 6 JOVA Gigioava Gigioava
Fri 30 Jun 44 6 JOVA Gigitai Gigitai, Meruetu
Sat 24 Jun 45 7 LOLOIPA  Lamanaipi Lamanaipi
Mon 26 Jun 45 7 LOLOIPA  Zanialavava Zanialavava 1 & 2
Tue 27 Jun 45 7 LOLOIPA  Laramaita Laramaita
Wed 28 Jun 45 7 LOLOIPA Tororo Tororo
Thu 29 Jun 45 7 LOLOIPA Gupou Gupou, Neriue
Fri 30 Jun 45 7 LOLOIPA Koiava Koiava
Sat 01 Jul 45 7 LOLOIPA Ariomu Ariomu, Orialavava, Gireavava
Sat 24 Jun 46 8 PILITU Kilekato Kilekato
Mon 26 Jun 46 8 PILITU  Lokout School Lokout, Opore
Tue 27 Jun 46 8 PILITU Tutuna Tutuna, Lotuava, Bolubolu
Wed 28 Jun 46 8 PILITU Topa School Topa, Poravivi, Lamina, Nazareth
Sat 24 Jun 47 9 PILITU CENTRAL Zamaro Zamaro, Varova
Mon 26 Jun 47 9 PILITU CENTRAL Karava Karava
Tue 27 Jun 47 9 PILITU CENTRAL  Lamara (Iri School) Lamara (Iri School)
Wed 28 Jun 47 9 PILITU CENTRAL Wopote Wapote, Kuviat
Thu 29 Jun 47 9 PILITU CENTRAL Niaivi Niaivi, Lilo
Sat 24 Jun 49 9 PILITU CENTRAL  Koapa Koapa
Mon 26 Jun 49 9 PILITU CENTRAL Utalama Utalama
Tue 27 Jun 49 9 PILITU CENTRAL Lavizako Lavizako
Wed 28 Jun 49 9 PILITU CENTRAL Kilekato Kilekato
Sat 24 Jun 48 10 TAPINI URBAN Station Station, Aiwara, Ivane, Sopu, Pilitu, Jowa, Loloipa